Reliable decision-making with streaming data requires principled uncertainty quantification of online methods. While first-order methods enable efficient iterate updates, their inference procedures still require updating proper (covariance) matrices, incurring $O(d^2)$ time and memory complexity, and are sensitive to ill-conditioning and noise heterogeneity of the problem. This costly inference task offers an opportunity for more robust second-order methods, which are, however, bottlenecked by solving Newton systems with $O(d^3)$ complexity. In this paper, we address this gap by studying an online Newton method with Hessian averaging, where the Newton direction at each step is approximately computed using a sketch-and-project solver with Nesterov's acceleration, matching $O(d^2)$ complexity of first-order methods. For the proposed method, we quantify its uncertainty arising from both random data and randomized computation. Under standard smoothness and moment conditions, we establish global almost-sure convergence, prove asymptotic normality of the last iterate with a limiting covariance characterized by a Lyapunov equation, and develop a fully online covariance estimator with non-asymptotic convergence guarantees. We also connect the resulting uncertainty quantification to that of exact and sketched Newton methods without Nesterov's acceleration. Extensive experiments on regression models demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method for online inference.

We study a stochastic convex bandit problem where the subgaussian noise parameter is assumed to decrease linearly as the learner selects actions closer and closer to the minimizer of the convex loss function. Accordingly, we propose a Regularized Online Newton Method (RONM) for solving the problem, based on the Online Newton Method (ONM) of arXiv:2406.06506. Our RONM reaches a polylogarithmic regret in the time horizon $n$ when the loss function grows quadratically in the constraint set, which recovers the results of arXiv:2402.12042 in linear bandits. Our analyses rely on the growth rate of the precision matrix $\Sigma_t^{-1}$ in ONM and we find that linear growth solves the question exactly. These analyses also help us obtain better convergence rates when the loss function grows faster. We also study and analyze two new bandit models: stochastic convex bandits with noise scaled to a subgaussian parameter function and convex bandits with stochastic multiplicative noise.

We introduce a computationally efficient algorithm for zeroth-order bandit convex optimisation and prove that in the adversarial setting its regret is at most $d^{3.5} \sqrt{n} \mathrm{polylog}(n, d)$ with high probability where $d$ is the dimension and $n$ is the time horizon. In the stochastic setting the bound improves to $M d^{2} \sqrt{n} \mathrm{polylog}(n, d)$ where $M \in [d^{-1/2}, d^{-1 / 4}]$ is a constant that depends on the geometry of the constraint set and the desired computational properties.

The regret bound of dynamic online learning algorithms is often expressed in terms of the variation in the function sequence ($V_T$) and/or the path-length of the minimizer sequence after $T$ rounds. For strongly convex and smooth functions, , Zhang et al. establish the squared path-length of the minimizer sequence ($C^*_{2,T}$) as a lower bound on regret. They also show that online gradient descent (OGD) achieves this lower bound using multiple gradient queries per round. In this paper, we focus on unconstrained online optimization. We first show that a preconditioned variant of OGD achieves $O(C^*_{2,T})$ with one gradient query per round. We then propose online optimistic Newton (OON) method for the case when the first and second order information of the function sequence is predictable. The regret bound of OON is captured via the quartic path-length of the minimizer sequence ($C^*_{4,T}$), which can be much smaller than $C^*_{2,T}$. We finally show that by using multiple gradients for OGD, we can achieve an upper bound of $O(\min\{C^*_{2,T},V_T\})$ on regret.

Online learning algorithms are designed to solve prediction and learning problems for streaming data or batch data whose volume is too large to be processed all at once. Applications include online routing [1], online auctions [2], online classification and regression [3], as well as online resource allocation [4].